Despite all the distractions in the news, the U.S. economy’s resilience remains remarkably strong.
Here are key fundamentals easily lost amid recent headlines dominating the news cycle.
In the first half of 2018, large-company stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index returned 1.7%, ending the quarter about 6% lower than January’s all-time high.
Small-company stocks in the Russell 2000 stock index returned 7%, while investors who bought into TV ads for gold and silver investments were sorely disappointed with their 4.3% loss in the first six months of the year.
Signals of economic strength are about as strong as they ever get, but so is the background noise.
The signal to noise ratio of the economy is a blaring anomaly.
Here’s a Father’s Day financial tip: put your children to work!
Paying your kids to do chores regularly can be a satisfying transaction for parents and teach children responsibility, but it will also provide tax-free income to your children a half-century or so from now when they retire.
Conventional economic wisdom holds that the record-low unemployment rate will cause employers to bid up wages, which then will be passed through to consumers in the form of higher prices, triggering rising inflation.
However, conventional wisdom is being shattered.
The progress of humanity moves inexorably slowly, but there is irrefutable evidence that Americans are better off than they were 10 years ago — about 20% better off.
Real disposable personal income grew at an average annual rate of 2.2% since the end of the last recession.
On Friday, February 16, at about 1 p.m., a 37-page indictment alleging a criminal conspiracy by Russian agents to meddle in the 2016 U.S. presidential election was posted on the website of the U.S. Justice Department.
What’s lost in the headlines is that faith in the nation, as measured by the stock market, remained unshaken; stock prices barely budged, displaying what makes America great.
If you had the power of perfect knowledge — the power to predict which one of twelve types of investments representing a wide range of assets was going to be number one every year for each of the 15 years from 2002 through 2016 — you would have averaged a 29.9% annual return.
Of course, no one has the power to predict which investments will be number one every year.
The Economy is Changing.
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